Portugal: Economic Diagnosis, Structural Challenges and Reforms 2026-2030 Part I (January 2026)

CBP publishes Part I of the “Portugal: Economic Diagnosis 2026-2030” report.

The report includes:

  • A macroeconomic diagnosis of Portugal for 2026-2030, with a structured reading of recent trends
  • Identification of structural weaknesses that condition growth and convergence
  • Implications for CEOs/Boards, Investors, and Institutional Decision-Makers

3 key signs (summary):

  • Growth in 2025 on the order of ~1.9-2.3%, with persistent structural constraints
  • Employment at its peak (approx. 5.3 million), with increasing pressure on costs
  • Low productivity (reference: ~$62/hour) and administrative friction penalizing competitiveness

Reform axes with the greatest potential for impact:

  • Judicial and administrative system efficiency
  • Scaling and execution of innovation/R&D policies
  • Measures aimed at increasing productivity and reducing investment friction

Comments and contributions are welcome: a point of agreement and an underestimated risk.

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